TSV 1860 München 18%Draw 21%Holstein Kiel 62%Expected goals 1.07 – 2.15
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultHolstein Kiel to win ✓62% · @1.49
Double chanceHolstein Kiel or draw ✓82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the DFB Pokal brings TSV 1860 München against Holstein Kiel. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
TSV 1860 München, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aubstadt, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Holstein Kiel, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC St. Pauli, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours TSV 1860 München, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Holstein Kiel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TSV 1860 München 1.1 xG, Holstein Kiel 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TSV 1860 München 18%, draw 21%, Holstein Kiel 62%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSV 1860 München 1–2 Holstein Kiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TSV 1860 München18%fair 5.70 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.30
Holstein Kiel62%fair 1.62 · @1.49
3.22Expected goals
1.07TSV 1860 München xG
2.15Holstein Kiel xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: TSV 1860 München 1.1 – 2.2 Holstein Kiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holstein Kiel to win✓
62%
1.62
1.49
Double chance
Holstein Kiel or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Holstein Kiel (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Holstein Kiel -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Holstein Kiel to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Holstein Kiel ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holstein Kiel / FT Holstein Kiel✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
TSV 1860 München – last 6
WWDDLD
18 Aug
@ Aubstadt
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ Memmingen
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Augsburg II
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
2–2
D
9 May
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–2
L
2 May
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holstein Kiel – last 6
DDLLDW
14 Aug
vs FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Swansea
2–2
D
15 Jul
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV 1860 München and Holstein Kiel.
What is the prediction for TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
On our numbers TSV 1860 München have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holstein Kiel 62%.
How many goals will there be in TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
Our predicted score is TSV 1860 München 1–2 Holstein Kiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Hannover 969
FC Saarbrücken1
Hertha BSC1
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RB Leipzig6