Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNAC Breda to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Vitesse vs NAC Breda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Eerste Divisie brings Vitesse against NAC Breda at GelreDome. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; NAC Breda are 13th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitesse, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Heracles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
NAC Breda, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Eindhoven, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.8 xG, NAC Breda 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 39%, draw 20%, NAC Breda 42%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Vitesse to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 NAC Breda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
NAC Breda42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
3.63Expected goals
1.78Vitesse xG
1.85NAC Breda xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.8 – 1.9 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
42%
2.40
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Vitesse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Vitesse – last 6
LWLWWL
26 Sep
@ Heracles
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Roda
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Den Bosch
4–1
W
21 Aug
vs Almere City FC
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 6
WWLLDW
26 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jong Utrecht
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Waalwijk
2–4
L
28 Aug
@ Roda
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and NAC Breda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NAC Breda 42%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Vitesse vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
