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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almere City FC v FC Volendam: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Yanmar Stadion
1–0
FT
Almere City FC 61%Draw 15%FC Volendam 24% Expected goals 2.38 – 1.43
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Almere City FC vs FC Volendam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Almere City FC v FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie, played at Yanmar Stadion. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; FC Volendam are 11th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Almere City FC, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dordrecht, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Volendam, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over VVV Venlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Almere City FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FC Volendam.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Almere City FC 2–1 FC Volendam.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.4 xG, FC Volendam 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 61%, draw 15%, FC Volendam 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
  • Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 FC Volendam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almere City FC61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @3.80
FC Volendam24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
3.81Expected goals
2.38Almere City FC xG
1.43FC Volendam xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%

From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.4 – 1.4 FC Volendam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmere City FC to win ✓61%1.651.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.481.35
Draw no betAlmere City FC (draw no bet) ✓72%1.40–
Asian handicapFC Volendam +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreAlmere City FC to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultAlmere City FC ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Almere City FC – last 6

LWWLWW
25 Sep@ Dordrecht2–3L
18 Sepvs Heracles1–0W
11 Sep@ MVV4–0W
4 Sepvs Jong Ajax0–1L
29 Aug@ De Graafschap4–1W
21 Aug@ Vitesse3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Volendam – last 6

WLWLWL
26 Sepvs VVV Venlo3–2W
18 Sep@ Jong AZ1–4L
13 Sepvs Den Bosch2–0W
4 Sep@ Emmen3–5L
28 Augvs Dordrecht6–1W
21 Aug@ MVV0–1L
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Jul 2026Almere City FC v FC Volendam2–1
Almere City FC vs FC Volendam head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs FC Volendam?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Almere City FC vs FC Volendam?

On our numbers Almere City FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Volendam 24%.

How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs FC Volendam?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs FC Volendam?

Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 FC Volendam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Almere City FC vs FC Volendam?

Almere City FC vs FC Volendam (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.