Value bet: Den Bosch to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Eerste Divisie brings Den Bosch against Dordrecht at Stadion de Vliert. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Den Bosch are 3rd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Dordrecht are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Den Bosch, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to De Graafschap, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Dordrecht, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Almere City FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Den Bosch, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Dordrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Den Bosch 2.5 xG, Dordrecht 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Den Bosch 61%, draw 18%, Dordrecht 21%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Den Bosch to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Den Bosch 2–1 Dordrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Den Bosch61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.75
Dordrecht21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
4.00Expected goals
2.54Den Bosch xG
1.46Dordrecht xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 2.5 – 1.5 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Draw no bet
Den Bosch (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Den Bosch to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Den Bosch ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Den Bosch – last 6
LWLLLW
27 Sep
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
21 Aug
vs FC Eindhoven
5–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
WLLLLL
25 Sep
vs Almere City FC
3–2
W
18 Sep
@ FC OSS
0–3
L
11 Sep
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–6
L
28 Aug
@ FC Volendam
1–6
L
21 Aug
vs Roda
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dordrecht 21%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 2–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion de Vliert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
