De Graafschap 42%Draw 20%Waalwijk 38%Expected goals 1.75 – 1.66
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Eerste Divisie brings De Graafschap against Waalwijk at De Vijverberg. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, De Graafschap are 1st, leading the league, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
De Graafschap, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Jong Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Waalwijk, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Volendam, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 1.8 xG, Waalwijk 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 42%, draw 20%, Waalwijk 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap42%fair 2.37 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.80
Waalwijk38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
3.41Expected goals
1.75De Graafschap xG
1.66Waalwijk xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 1.8 – 1.7 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
42%
2.37
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
De Graafschap – last 6
LWDWLW
19 Oct
@ Jong Ajax
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DLDLWW
18 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Heracles
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waalwijk 38%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
