Den Bosch 61%Draw 22%MVV 17%Expected goals 2.22 – 1.14
83%
Betarazi pick
Den Bosch or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceDen Bosch or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Den Bosch vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Den Bosch v MVV in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Vliert. In the table, Den Bosch are 3rd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Den Bosch, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC OSS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
MVV, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Heracles, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Den Bosch, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for MVV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Den Bosch 2.2 xG, MVV 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Den Bosch 61%, draw 22%, MVV 17%.
Lower-risk option: Den Bosch or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Den Bosch or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Den Bosch 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Den Bosch61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.90
MVV17%fair 5.74 · @4.00
3.36Expected goals
2.22Den Bosch xG
1.14MVV xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 2.2 – 1.1 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Den Bosch or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Den Bosch (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Den Bosch to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Den Bosch ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Den Bosch – last 6
WWDLWL
16 Oct
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Jong AZ
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLLWLL
18 Oct
vs Heracles
1–5
L
9 Oct
@ NAC Breda
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ FC OSS
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Waalwijk
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Almere City FC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and MVV.
Our pick is Den Bosch or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Den Bosch vs MVV?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and MVV 17%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs MVV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs MVV?
Den Bosch vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vliert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
