Jong AZ 57%Draw 22%Helmond Sport 21%Expected goals 2.40 – 1.46
79%
Betarazi pick
Jong AZ or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong AZ to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceJong AZ or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong AZ welcome Helmond Sport to AFAS Trainingscomplex for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 23 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with VVV Venlo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Helmond Sport, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NAC Breda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Helmond Sport.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Jong AZ 2–0 Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 2.4 xG, Helmond Sport 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 57%, draw 22%, Helmond Sport 21%.
Lower-risk option: Jong AZ or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jong AZ or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.75
Helmond Sport21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
3.86Expected goals
2.40Jong AZ xG
1.46Helmond Sport xG
67%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.4 – 1.5 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Jong AZ or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Helmond Sport 21%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
