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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
1–0
FT
Fortuna Sittard 43%Draw 21%Excelsior 36% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.78
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:15 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior in the Eredivisie, played at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. In the table, Fortuna Sittard are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Fortuna Sittard, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with NEC Nijmegen, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Excelsior, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Heerenveen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fortuna Sittard, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Excelsior.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Sittard 1.9 xG, Excelsior 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Sittard 43%, draw 21%, Excelsior 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortuna Sittard43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Excelsior36%fair 2.77 · @2.70
3.72Expected goals
1.94Fortuna Sittard xG
1.78Excelsior xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.9 – 1.8 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortuna Sittard to win ✓43%2.352.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.44
Draw no betFortuna Sittard (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapExcelsior +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
First team to scoreFortuna Sittard to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Fortuna Sittard – last 6

DDWWLW
18 Oct@ NEC Nijmegen2–2D
10 Octvs Twente1–1D
3 Oct@ Genk2–1W
19 Sep@ Willem II1–0W
12 Sepvs Ajax1–5L
6 Sep@ ADO Den Haag3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Excelsior – last 6

LLDLDW
16 Oct@ Heerenveen0–4L
11 Octvs Groningen1–5L
19 Sep@ Ajax2–2D
13 Sepvs Utrecht1–2L
8 Sep@ NEC Nijmegen2–2D
5 Sep@ Willem II3–0W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior2–1
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Excelsior 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.