AZ Alkmaar 44%Draw 21%Twente 35%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.48
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Alkmaar welcome Twente to AFAS Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 25 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 12 matches; Twente are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ararat-Armenia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Twente, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Lincoln Red Imps FC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 1.7 xG, Twente 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 44%, draw 21%, Twente 35%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Twente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar44%fair 2.26 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Twente35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
3.17Expected goals
1.69AZ Alkmaar xG
1.48Twente xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 1.7 – 1.5 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✗
44%
2.26
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Twente +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
AZ Alkmaar to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WDWLWL
22 Oct
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Twente – last 6
WLWDWW
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and Twente.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Twente 35%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
