NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Eredivisie brings NEC Nijmegen against Groningen at Stadion de Goffert. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Groningen are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Dinamo Zagreb, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Groningen, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Ajax, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 2.0 xG, Groningen 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 41%, draw 21%, Groningen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEC Nijmegen41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
Groningen38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
4.00Expected goals
2.03NEC Nijmegen xG
1.97Groningen xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.0 – 2.0 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
41%
2.45
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Draw no bet
NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Groningen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
NEC Nijmegen to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.44
–
Recent results
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
WDDDDL
22 Oct
@ Dinamo Zagreb
4–2
W
18 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ajax
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Juventus
0–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 6
LWWDDL
18 Oct
vs Ajax
2–5
L
11 Oct
@ Excelsior
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Twente
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Groningen 38%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion de Goffert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
