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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Feyenoord v Excelsior: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · De Kuip
Sat 21 Nov 2026
Feyenoord 77%Draw 14%Excelsior 9% Expected goals 3.09 – 1.10
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultFeyenoord to win77% · @1.14
Double chanceFeyenoord or draw91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.21

Feyenoord vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Excelsior travel to face Feyenoord on Saturday 21 November in the Eredivisie, with De Kuip the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Feyenoord are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Feyenoord, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Heerenveen, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Excelsior, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GO Ahead Eagles, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Feyenoord 3.1 xG, Excelsior 1.1 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Feyenoord 77%, draw 14%, Excelsior 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feyenoord 3–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Feyenoord77%fair 1.30 · @1.14
Draw14%fair 7.06 · @8.00
Excelsior9%fair 11.34 · @13.00
4.19Expected goals
3.09Feyenoord xG
1.10Excelsior xG
61%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%

From our goals model: Feyenoord 3.1 – 1.1 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FeyenoordExcelsior
Attack vs Eredivisie average+37%-23%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+21%
Our expected goals here3.161.20

Our own ratings from every Eredivisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFeyenoord to win77%1.301.14
Double chanceFeyenoord or draw91%1.101.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.80 ▲
Draw no betFeyenoord (draw no bet)90%1.11–
Asian handicapFeyenoord -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals91%1.101.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals78%1.281.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals59%1.701.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals59%1.691.57
First team to scoreFeyenoord to score first73%1.38–
Half-time resultFeyenoord ahead at half-time59%1.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Feyenoord / FT Feyenoord54%1.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%12.21–

Recent results

Feyenoord – last 6

LLDDLW
8 Nov@ Heerenveen3–5L
3 Novvs Inter0–3L
31 Octvs Fortuna Sittard1–1D
25 Oct@ PSV Eindhoven1–1D
21 Oct@ Real Betis0–1L
17 Oct@ Telstar4–3W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Excelsior – last 6

LLWLLL
7 Novvs GO Ahead Eagles0–1L
1 Novvs Twente0–9L
28 Oct@ MVV3–0W
25 Oct@ Fortuna Sittard0–1L
16 Oct@ Heerenveen0–4L
11 Octvs Groningen1–5L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Feyenoord v Excelsior2–1
Feyenoord vs Excelsior head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

On our numbers Feyenoord have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Excelsior 9%.

How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Our predicted score is Feyenoord 3–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.