Value bet: Telstar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTelstar to win54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.37
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Telstar welcome PEC Zwolle to BUKO Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Saturday 21 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, Telstar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Telstar, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortuna Sittard, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Willem II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Telstar 2.0 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Telstar 54%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle 24%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Telstar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Telstar 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Telstar54%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
PEC Zwolle24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
3.27Expected goals
1.99Telstar xG
1.27PEC Zwolle xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Telstar 2.0 – 1.3 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
Attack vs Eredivisie average
+1%
-35%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.91
1.24
Our own ratings from every Eredivisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Telstar to win
54%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Telstar (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
PEC Zwolle +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.28
First team to score
Telstar to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Telstar ahead at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Telstar / FT Telstar
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Telstar – last 6
DWLLLD
7 Nov
@ Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
1 Nov
vs Utrecht
4–2
W
27 Oct
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ GO Ahead Eagles
2–3
L
17 Oct
vs Feyenoord
3–4
L
11 Oct
vs ADO Den Haag
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
DWLDWL
6 Nov
@ Willem II
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs GO Ahead Eagles
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Telstar and PEC Zwolle.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Telstar have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 24%.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Telstar 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BUKO Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
