NEC Nijmegen 16%Draw 19%PSV Eindhoven 65%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.68
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win65% · @1.50
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.42
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 November the Eredivisie brings NEC Nijmegen against PSV Eindhoven at Goffertstadion. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; PSV Eindhoven are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Utrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Cambuur, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended NEC Nijmegen 3–2 PSV Eindhoven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 1.3 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.7 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 16%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 65%.
Lower-risk option: PSV Eindhoven or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEC Nijmegen16%fair 6.38 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.75
PSV Eindhoven65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
3.96Expected goals
1.28NEC Nijmegen xG
2.68PSV Eindhoven xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.3 – 2.7 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Attack vs Eredivisie average
-11%
+58%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.27
2.76
Our own ratings from every Eredivisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and PSV Eindhoven 65%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
