Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAuxerre to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceAuxerre or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Auxerre vs Angers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Ligue 1 brings Auxerre against Angers. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Angers are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Lens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Angers, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lille, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Angers, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Auxerre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 2.3 xG, Angers 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 58%, draw 25%, Angers 17%.
Lower-risk option: Auxerre or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Auxerre or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 2–1 Angers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Angers17%fair 5.80 · @3.95
3.53Expected goals
2.28Auxerre xG
1.25Angers xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Auxerre 2.3 – 1.3 Angers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Auxerre or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Auxerre (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Auxerre -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.09
First team to score
Auxerre to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Auxerre ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
LWDDLW
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Angers – last 6
LWWLWW
23 Aug
vs Lille
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Paris FC
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Lorient
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Le Mans
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Creteil
2–1
W
22 Jul
vs Les Herbiers
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Angers.
Our pick is Auxerre or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Auxerre vs Angers?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Angers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Angers?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 2–1 Angers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Angers?
Auxerre vs Angers (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
