Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✗70% · @1.44
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Lyon vs Le Havre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lyon welcome Le Havre to Parc Olympique Lyonnais for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 29 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Le Havre are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fenerbahçe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Le Havre, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monaco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Le Havre 0–0 Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.7 xG, Le Havre 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 70%, draw 21%, Le Havre 9%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–0 Le Havre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon70%fair 1.43 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.20
Le Havre9%fair 11.12 · @7.40
2.19Expected goals
1.75Lyon xG
0.44Le Havre xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.7 – 0.4 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lyon vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Lyon have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Le Havre 9%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–0 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Le Havre?
Lyon vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
