Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse in the Ligue 1. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Toulouse are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stade Brestois 29, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Le Mans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Toulouse, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lyon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Brestois 29 1.5 xG, Toulouse 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Brestois 29 41%, draw 23%, Toulouse 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Stade Brestois 29 to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Brestois 2941%fair 2.45 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Toulouse36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
2.81Expected goals
1.45Stade Brestois 29 xG
1.35Toulouse xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Stade Brestois 29 1.5 – 1.4 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win✗
41%
2.45
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Stade Brestois 29 (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Toulouse +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Stade Brestois 29 to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
DLDWDL
22 Aug
@ Le Mans
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Venezia
2–2
D
5 Aug
@ Stade Briochin
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toulouse – last 6
LLWDLL
22 Aug
vs Lyon
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Real Sociedad
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Rodez
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Lens
1–4
L
17 Apr
@ Lens
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse.
What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Stade Brestois 29 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toulouse 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
