Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lorient to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLorient to win ✗61% · @1.84
Double chanceLorient or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Lorient vs Estac Troyes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estac Troyes travel to face Lorient on Saturday 29 August in the Ligue 1, with Stade du Moustoir the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lorient are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Estac Troyes are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Lorient, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nice, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Estac Troyes, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Paris FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorient 1.8 xG, Estac Troyes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorient 61%, draw 22%, Estac Troyes 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lorient or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Lorient to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lorient or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorient 1–0 Estac Troyes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorient61%fair 1.65 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.45
Estac Troyes18%fair 5.65 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.76Lorient xG
0.81Estac Troyes xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lorient 1.8 – 0.8 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✗
61%
1.65
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Lorient or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Lorient (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Lorient to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Lorient ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Lorient – last 6
DLLWWW
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
4 Aug
vs UNFP
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Guingamp
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
DDDWWW
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Nancy
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorient and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Lorient or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Lorient have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estac Troyes 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Lorient vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
