Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLens to win53% · @1.85
Double chanceLens or draw77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.38
Lens vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toulouse travel to face Lens on Saturday 21 November in the Ligue 1, with Stade Bollaert-Delelis the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Toulouse are 12th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lens, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marseille, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Toulouse, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Strasbourg, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toulouse, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Lens.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Lens 4–1 Toulouse. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lens 2 wins, Toulouse 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 1.9 xG, Toulouse 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 53%, draw 24%, Toulouse 23%.
Lower-risk option: Lens or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens53%fair 1.90 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.70
Toulouse23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
3.17Expected goals
1.90Lens xG
1.27Toulouse xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lens 1.9 – 1.3 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lens
Toulouse
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
+22%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+0%
Our expected goals here
2.00
1.42
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Lens have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Toulouse?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Toulouse?
Lens vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
