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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monaco v Auxerre: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Louis II

Monaco

DWLDW
Sat 21 Nov 2026

Auxerre

LLDWL
Monaco 66%Draw 21%Auxerre 14% Expected goals 2.24 – 1.00
66%
Betarazi pick

Monaco to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonaco to win66% · @1.40
Double chanceMonaco or draw86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.17

Monaco vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 21 November the Ligue 1 brings Monaco against Auxerre at Stade Louis II. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Monaco are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Monaco, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Le Mans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Auxerre, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paris FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Monaco 2–2 Auxerre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monaco 2.2 xG, Auxerre 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monaco 66%, draw 21%, Auxerre 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Monaco to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monaco 2–1 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monaco66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.75
Auxerre14%fair 7.24 · @7.00
3.24Expected goals
2.24Monaco xG
1.00Auxerre xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Monaco 2.2 – 1.0 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MonacoAuxerre
Attack vs Ligue 1 average+6%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+30%
Our expected goals here2.261.09

Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonaco to win66%1.521.40
Double chanceMonaco or draw86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.70
Draw no betMonaco (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapMonaco -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals63%1.581.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.691.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.301.25
First team to scoreMonaco to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultMonaco ahead at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monaco / FT Monaco43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.17–

Recent results

Monaco – last 6

DWLDWL
8 Nov@ Le Mans1–1D
5 Novvs FC Nordsjaelland2–0W
1 Nov@ Paris FC1–3L
25 Octvs Lille1–1D
22 Octvs SC Freiburg3–0W
18 Oct@ Lorient0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Auxerre – last 6

LLDWLW
7 Novvs Paris FC0–1L
1 Nov@ Strasbourg1–5L
25 Octvs Le Mans1–1D
18 Oct@ Le Havre3–1W
11 Oct@ Rennes1–4L
2 Octvs Clermont Foot4–3W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Monaco v Auxerre2–2
Monaco vs Auxerre head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Auxerre?

Our pick is Monaco to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

On our numbers Monaco have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auxerre 14%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Auxerre?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Auxerre?

Our predicted score is Monaco 2–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Monaco vs Auxerre?

Monaco vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.