Lille 42%Draw 28%Lyon 30%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.30
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultLille to win42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.13
Lille vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Saturday 21 November: Lille v Lyon in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Lille, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rennes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lyon, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stade Brestois 29, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.3 xG, Lyon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 42%, draw 28%, Lyon 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–0 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.25
Lyon30%fair 3.35 · @3.00
2.19Expected goals
1.26Lille xG
0.93Lyon xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lille 1.3 – 0.9 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lille
Lyon
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-11%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.74
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Lyon +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.10
First team to score
Lille to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
WDWDLD
8 Nov
@ Rennes
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ BodoGlimt
0–0
D
30 Oct
vs Lens
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Monaco
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Galatasaray
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LDWLLW
8 Nov
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
5 Nov
@ Real Sociedad
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Angers
2–0
W
26 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lyon.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
On our numbers Lille have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lyon 30%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–0 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lyon?
Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
