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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nice v Paris Saint Germain: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Allianz Riviera

Nice

WWWLW
Sat 21 Nov 2026
Nice 22%Draw 21%Paris Saint Germain 57% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.87
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultParis Saint Germain to win57% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.30

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nice welcome Paris Saint Germain to Allianz Riviera for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 21 November (17:15 WAT). In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 23.

Current form

Nice, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Angers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estac Troyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Nice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nice 1.2 xG, Paris Saint Germain 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 22%, draw 21%, Paris Saint Germain 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nice22%fair 4.64 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.50
Paris Saint Germain57%fair 1.75 · @1.45
3.09Expected goals
1.22Nice xG
1.87Paris Saint Germain xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Nice 1.2 – 1.9 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NiceParis Saint Germain
Attack vs Ligue 1 average+5%+36%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-26%
Our expected goals here1.271.60

Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParis Saint Germain to win57%1.751.45
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.541.50
Draw no betParis Saint Germain (draw no bet)73%1.38–
Asian handicapNice +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.201.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.571.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.731.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals75%1.331.36
First team to scoreParis Saint Germain to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultParis Saint Germain ahead at half-time39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.30–

Recent results

Nice – last 6

WWWLWW
8 Nov@ Angers2–0W
31 Octvs Rennes5–2W
23 Oct@ Stade Brestois 292–1W
18 Oct@ Lyon1–2L
11 Octvs Strasbourg2–1W
20 Sepvs Lille2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Paris Saint Germain – last 6

WWWWWW
7 Novvs Estac Troyes1–0W
3 Nov@ Villarreal6–0W
30 Oct@ Le Havre5–1W
26 Octvs Lyon2–0W
20 Octvs Barcelona4–2W
17 Oct@ Strasbourg3–1W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nice and Paris Saint Germain.

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

On our numbers Nice have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint Germain 57%.

How many goals will there be in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.