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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aparecidense v Capital Brasilia: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Aparecidense

DDLDW
1–1
FT

Capital Brasilia

WWDDD
Aparecidense 33%Draw 28%Capital Brasilia 39% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.38
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Capital Brasilia to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aparecidense welcome Capital Brasilia for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 20 June (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Aparecidense, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Capital Brasilia, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over União Rondonópolis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aparecidense 1.2 xG, Capital Brasilia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aparecidense 33%, draw 28%, Capital Brasilia 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Capital Brasilia to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aparecidense33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.75
Capital Brasilia39%fair 2.54 · @2.70
2.55Expected goals
1.17Aparecidense xG
1.38Capital Brasilia xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Aparecidense 1.2 – 1.4 Capital Brasilia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCapital Brasilia to win ✗39%2.542.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betCapital Brasilia (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapAparecidense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreCapital Brasilia to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.51–

Recent results

Aparecidense – last 5

DDLDW
7 Jun@ Gama2–2D
30 Mayvs Primavera MG1–1D
24 May@ Luverdense0–1L
17 May@ Inhumas1–1D
18 Febvs Centro Oeste4–0W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Capital Brasilia – last 6

WWDDDL
7 Junvs União Rondonópolis2–0W
30 May@ CEOV Operário5–1W
29 Aprvs Operario Ferroviario2–2D
16 Apr@ Vila Nova0–0D
8 Apr@ Araguaína0–0D
29 Marvs Rio Branco ES0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aparecidense and Capital Brasilia.

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT América RJ1 XV de Piracicaba1 134%3.40X28%2.75237%2.10 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.10 ✓
FT Independiente FSJ0 Cianorte1 133%2.75X31%2.50235%2.75 0.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.50 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Ipatinga0 147%2.30X26%2.75227%2.90 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT São Luiz1 Blumenau1 137%2.40X30%2.62233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT Ceilândia1 Luverdense2 136%2.80X25%2.70239%2.45 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Fluminense PI0 America-RN3 117%5.80X26%3.10257%1.57 0.8–1.5xG 2America-RN to win 57%@1.57 ✓
FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 Portuguesa1 124%4.00X28%2.90248%1.85 0.9–1.2xG X2Portuguesa or draw 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Mixto1 Gama2 128%3.00X28%2.80245%2.25 1.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

On our numbers Aparecidense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Capital Brasilia 39%.

How many goals will there be in Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Our predicted score is Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.