Ceilândia vs Luverdense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 20 June the Serie D brings Ceilândia against Luverdense. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Ceilândia, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mixto, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Luverdense, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Inhumas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Luverdense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Ceilândia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceilândia 1.0 xG, Luverdense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceilândia 36%, draw 25%, Luverdense 39%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceilândia 1–1 Luverdense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceilândia36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.70
Luverdense39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
2.00Expected goals
0.98Ceilândia xG
1.02Luverdense xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ceilândia 1.0 – 1.0 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luverdense to win✓
39%
2.58
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Luverdense (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Ceilândia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Luverdense to score first
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
14.43
–
Recent results
Ceilândia – last 3
DDD
7 Jun
@ Mixto
1–1
D
30 May
vs Goiatuba EC
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Mixto
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Luverdense – last 6
WDWLLW
7 Jun
vs Inhumas
4–0
W
31 May
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
24 May
vs Aparecidense
1–0
W
17 May
@ Primavera MG
0–1
L
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceilândia and Luverdense.
What is the prediction for Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
On our numbers Ceilândia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Luverdense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Our predicted score is Ceilândia 1–1 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Ceilândia vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
América RJ1
XV de Piracicaba1
Independiente FSJ0
Cianorte1
Vitória ES1
Ipatinga0
São Luiz1
Blumenau1
Aparecidense1
Capital Brasilia1
Fluminense PI0
America-RN3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Portuguesa1
Mixto1
Gama2