Vitória ES vs Ipatinga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitória ES welcome Ipatinga for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Vitória ES, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vilavelhense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ipatinga, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitória ES 1.5 xG, Ipatinga 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória ES 47%, draw 26%, Ipatinga 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitória ES47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.75
Ipatinga27%fair 3.72 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.54Vitória ES xG
0.94Ipatinga xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.5 – 0.9 Ipatinga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória ES to win✓
47%
2.13
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Vitória ES (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Ipatinga +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Vitória ES to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Vitória ES – last 6
DDLLDW
17 Jun
@ Vilavelhense
2–2
D
14 Jun
@ Tombense
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Rio Branco-VN
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Vilavelhense
0–1
L
30 May
vs Real Noroeste
1–1
D
27 May
vs Sport Brasil ES
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ipatinga – last 5
LWLLD
17 Jun
vs Villa Nova
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Operario Ferroviario
2–1
W
12 Jun
@ Aymorés
0–4
L
30 May
@ ABECAT Ouvidorense
1–2
L
18 May
@ Uberlandia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória ES and Ipatinga.
What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
On our numbers Vitória ES have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ipatinga 27%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Vitória ES vs Ipatinga (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.