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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitória ES v Ipatinga: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil
1–0
FT
Vitória ES 47%Draw 26%Ipatinga 27% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.94
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitória ES to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

Vitória ES vs Ipatinga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitória ES welcome Ipatinga for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Vitória ES, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vilavelhense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Ipatinga, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitória ES 1.5 xG, Ipatinga 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória ES 47%, draw 26%, Ipatinga 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitória ES47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.75
Ipatinga27%fair 3.72 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.54Vitória ES xG
0.94Ipatinga xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.5 – 0.9 Ipatinga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitória ES to win ✓47%2.132.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betVitória ES (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapIpatinga +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVitória ES to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.72–

Recent results

Vitória ES – last 6

DDLLDW
17 Jun@ Vilavelhense2–2D
14 Jun@ Tombense0–0D
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
3 Jun@ Vilavelhense0–1L
30 Mayvs Real Noroeste1–1D
27 Mayvs Sport Brasil ES5–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ipatinga – last 5

LWLLD
17 Junvs Villa Nova0–1L
14 Junvs Operario Ferroviario2–1W
12 Jun@ Aymorés0–4L
30 May@ ABECAT Ouvidorense1–2L
18 May@ Uberlandia1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitória ES and Ipatinga.

Vitória ES vs Ipatinga head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?

On our numbers Vitória ES have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ipatinga 27%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?

Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?

Vitória ES vs Ipatinga (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.