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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sampaio Corrêa RJ v Portuguesa: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Lourival Gomes

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

LWLLL
1–1
FT

Portuguesa

WWLWW
Sampaio Corrêa RJ 24%Draw 28%Portuguesa 48% Expected goals 0.91 – 1.19
76%
Betarazi pick

Portuguesa or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPortuguesa to win ✗48% · @1.85
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.66

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 20 June the Serie D brings Sampaio Corrêa RJ against Portuguesa at Estadio Lourival Gomes. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Noroeste, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Portuguesa, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Portuguesa RJ, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately.

Momentum favours Portuguesa, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.7 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0.9 xG, Portuguesa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Corrêa RJ 24%, draw 28%, Portuguesa 48%.
  • Lower-risk option: Portuguesa or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Portuguesa or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1 Portuguesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sampaio Corrêa RJ24%fair 4.16 · @4.00
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.90
Portuguesa48%fair 2.10 · @1.85
2.11Expected goals
0.91Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
1.19Portuguesa xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0.9 – 1.2 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa to win ✗48%2.101.85
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Draw no betPortuguesa (draw no bet)66%1.50–
Asian handicapSampaio Corrêa RJ +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scorePortuguesa to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.66–

Recent results

Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6

LWLLLD
7 Jun@ Noroeste0–1L
30 Mayvs Velo Clube1–0W
7 May@ Avai0–2L
30 Aprvs Operario-PR1–2L
16 Apr@ America Mineiro1–2L
8 Aprvs Volta Redonda1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portuguesa – last 5

WWLWW
6 Junvs Portuguesa RJ2–0W
30 May@ Pouso Alegre2–1W
18 Marvs Paysandu2–3L
27 Febvs Altos5–1W
16 Feb@ Mirassol2–1W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Portuguesa.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT América RJ1 XV de Piracicaba1 134%3.40X28%2.75237%2.10 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.10 ✓
FT Independiente FSJ0 Cianorte1 133%2.75X31%2.50235%2.75 0.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.50 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Ipatinga0 147%2.30X26%2.75227%2.90 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT São Luiz1 Blumenau1 137%2.40X30%2.62233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT Aparecidense1 Capital Brasilia1 133%2.50X28%2.75239%2.70 1.2–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✓
FT Ceilândia1 Luverdense2 136%2.80X25%2.70239%2.45 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Fluminense PI0 America-RN3 117%5.80X26%3.10257%1.57 0.8–1.5xG 2America-RN to win 57%@1.57 ✓
FT Mixto1 Gama2 128%3.00X28%2.80245%2.25 1.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?

Our pick is Portuguesa or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?

On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Portuguesa 48%.

How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?

Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.