Value bet: Mito Hollyhock to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Kyoto Sanga v Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League, played at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Kyoto Sanga, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kawasaki Frontale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gamba Osaka, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kyoto Sanga, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.5 xG, Mito Hollyhock 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 45%, draw 23%, Mito Hollyhock 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Mito Hollyhock to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyoto Sanga45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Mito Hollyhock32%fair 3.08 · @3.50
2.71Expected goals
1.49Kyoto Sanga xG
1.22Mito Hollyhock xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.5 – 1.2 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win✗
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Kyoto Sanga (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Kyoto Sanga to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Kyoto Sanga – last 6
DLWLWL
15 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
30 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–6
L
23 May
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
17 May
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
DLLLLL
15 Aug
vs Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–2
L
6 Jun
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
30 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
24 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
16 May
vs Tokyo Verdy
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mito Hollyhock 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.