Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the J1 League brings Kashima against Avispa Fukuoka at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nagoya Grampus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.0 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 63%, draw 22%, Avispa Fukuoka 14%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Avispa Fukuoka14%fair 7.07 · @5.20
2.89Expected goals
2.03Kashima xG
0.87Avispa Fukuoka xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.0 – 0.9 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.05
First team to score
Kashima to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
WWWWLW
15 Aug
vs Nagoya Grampus
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
4–3
W
15 Jul
vs Vegalta Sendai
5–0
W
6 Jun
vs Vissel Kobe
2–0
W
30 May
@ Vissel Kobe
0–5
L
23 May
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
WLWLWD
15 Aug
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
19 Jul
vs Osaka
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Kitakyushu
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
30 May
vs JEF United Chiba
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Kashima have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avispa Fukuoka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fagiano Okayama0
Kyoto Sanga1
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Nagoya Grampus3
Gamba Osaka1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Vissel Kobe0