Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League, played at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Avispa Fukuoka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yokohama F. Marinos, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.3 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 44%, draw 22%, Shimizu S-pulse 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerezo Osaka44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Shimizu S-pulse34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.37Expected goals
1.28Cerezo Osaka xG
1.09Shimizu S-pulse xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.3 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
44%
2.27
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.13
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
1–0
W
15 Jul
vs Tochigi City
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ FC Tokyo
3–1
W
30 May
vs FC Tokyo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LWWWLD
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
3–1
W
14 Jul
@ Polessya
3–1
W
6 Jun
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–3
L
31 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shimizu S-pulse 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kashima3
Tokyo Verdy0
Mito Hollyhock3
Kawasaki Frontale1
Yokohama F. Marinos1