Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✗43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fagiano Okayama welcome Tokyo Verdy to City Light Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 22 August (10:30 WAT). In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.3 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 43%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Tokyo Verdy to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fagiano Okayama43%fair 2.34 · @2.20

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00

Tokyo Verdy33%fair 3.04 · @3.50

2.34Expected goals

1.27Fagiano Okayama xG

1.07Tokyo Verdy xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–010%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.3 – 1.1 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fagiano Okayama to win ✗	43%	2.34	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	2.05
Draw no bet	Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Tokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
First team to score	Fagiano Okayama to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama ✗	24%	4.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.04	–

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WLLLWL

15 Aug	vs V-varen Nagasaki	1–0	W
8 Aug	@ Cerezo Osaka	1–2	L
25 Jul	@ FC Schalke 04	1–3	L
22 Jul	@ Werder Bremen	0–2	L
21 Jul	@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	2–1	W
14 Jul	@ SV Wehen	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

LDLDLW

14 Aug	vs Kashiwa Reysol	1–3	L
9 Aug	vs Kawasaki Frontale	1–1	D
6 Jun	vs Gamba Osaka	2–4	L
30 May	@ Gamba Osaka	1–1	D
24 May	vs Yokohama F. Marinos	0–6	L
16 May	@ Mito Hollyhock	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	18	15	3	+20	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	+14	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	+6	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	-2	28
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	8	-4	28
6	Urawa	18	7	11	+3	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	-3	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	-2	20
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	12	-16	18
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	15	-16	12

Team

Pts

+20

+14

-2

-4

-3

-2

-16

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?

On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 33%.

How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy: numbers & prediction

Fagiano Okayama