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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Araguaína v Nacional AM: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Araguaína

WLDLW
0–1
FT

Nacional AM

WDLLW
Araguaína 37%Draw 28%Nacional AM 35% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.29
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultAraguaína to win ✗37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Araguaína vs Nacional AM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nacional AM travel to face Araguaína on Sunday 21 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Araguaína, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Galvez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Nacional AM, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monte Roraima, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nacional AM, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Araguaína.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Araguaína 1.4 xG, Nacional AM 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Araguaína 37%, draw 28%, Nacional AM 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araguaína 1–1 Nacional AM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Araguaína37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.80
Nacional AM35%fair 2.89 · @2.38
2.72Expected goals
1.43Araguaína xG
1.29Nacional AM xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Araguaína 1.4 – 1.3 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAraguaína to win ✗37%2.702.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betAraguaína (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapNacional AM +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreAraguaína to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Araguaína / FT Araguaína ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.51–

Recent results

Araguaína – last 6

WLDLWL
14 Junvs Galvez9–0W
31 May@ Guaporé2–3L
24 Mayvs Porto Velho1–1D
17 May@ Independência0–1L
11 May@ Humaitá7–0W
29 Aprvs Vila Nova1–2L
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nacional AM – last 6

WDLLWW
14 Junvs Monte Roraima3–1W
31 May@ Manaus FC1–1D
29 Mayvs Paysandu2–4L
21 May@ Paysandu0–1L
29 Aprvs Guaporé2–0W
16 Apr@ GAS3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Araguaína and Nacional AM.

Araguaína vs Nacional AM head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Parnahyba2 Águia de Marabá1 134%2.70X27%2.90239%2.45 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.85 ✓
FT Central SC1 Ferroviario1 141%2.35X28%2.88231%3.00 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Brasiliense0 Goiatuba EC0 144%1.90X29%3.00227%3.90 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Cascavel2 Marcílio Dias2 137%2.60X30%2.45233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Sao Jose1 Santa Catarina1 140%2.62X29%2.70231%2.75 1.2–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ1 Noroeste1 140%2.20X28%2.88232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Tuna Luso1 Iguatu2 134%2.50X27%2.88239%2.70 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Altos0 ABC1 121%4.00X26%3.00253%1.90 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Araguaína vs Nacional AM?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Araguaína vs Nacional AM?

On our numbers Araguaína have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nacional AM 35%.

How many goals will there be in Araguaína vs Nacional AM?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Araguaína vs Nacional AM?

Our predicted score is Araguaína 1–1 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Araguaína vs Nacional AM?

Araguaína vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.