Independência vs Manauara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manauara travel to face Independência on Sunday 21 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Independência, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guaporé, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Manauara, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sao Raimundo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independência 1.0 xG, Manauara 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independência 22%, draw 25%, Manauara 53%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independência 1–1 Manauara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independência22%fair 4.58 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.75
Manauara53%fair 1.87 · @1.44
2.33Expected goals
0.95Independência xG
1.38Manauara xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Independência 1.0 – 1.4 Manauara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manauara to win✓
53%
1.87
1.44
Double chance
Manauara or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Manauara (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Independência +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Manauara to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manauara / FT Manauara✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Independência – last 6
DWWWWL
14 Jun
vs Guaporé
2–2
D
31 May
@ Humaitá
4–0
W
24 May
vs Galvez
3–1
W
17 May
vs Araguaína
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs GAS
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Galvez
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Manauara – last 6
WWDWLL
14 Jun
vs Sao Raimundo
1–0
W
31 May
@ Monte Roraima
1–0
W
24 May
vs Manaus FC
1–1
D
5 May
@ GAS
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional AM
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independência and Manauara.
What is the prediction for Independência vs Manauara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Independência vs Manauara?
On our numbers Independência have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manauara 53%.
How many goals will there be in Independência vs Manauara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independência vs Manauara?
Our predicted score is Independência 1–1 Manauara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independência vs Manauara?
Independência vs Manauara (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Parnahyba2
Águia de Marabá1
Central SC1
Ferroviario1
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC0
Cascavel2
Marcílio Dias2
Sao Jose1
Santa Catarina1
Portuguesa RJ1
Noroeste1
Tuna Luso1
Iguatu2
Altos0
ABC1