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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lagarto v CSA: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Lagarto

WWDDD
1–1
FT

CSA

WDWWW
Lagarto 29%Draw 27%CSA 44% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.51
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Lagarto vs CSA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Lagarto v CSA in the Serie D.

Current form

Lagarto, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Decisão, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

CSA, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Atlético Alagoinhas, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours CSA, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Lagarto.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lagarto 1.2 xG, CSA 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lagarto 29%, draw 27%, CSA 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lagarto 1–1 CSA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lagarto29%fair 3.41 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
CSA44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
2.72Expected goals
1.20Lagarto xG
1.51CSA xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Lagarto 1.2 – 1.5 CSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✗44%2.262.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.80 ▲
Draw no betCSA (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapLagarto +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.10
First team to scoreCSA to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Lagarto – last 6

WWDDDL
14 Junvs Decisão1–0W
30 May@ Treze2–1W
24 May@ Retrô1–1D
17 Mayvs Sergipe1–1D
5 Apr@ Decisão1–1D
22 Febvs América SE0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSA – last 6

WDWWWW
14 Jun@ Atlético Alagoinhas7–1W
31 Mayvs Jacuipense1–1D
17 May@ CSE5–1W
5 Aprvs Atlético Alagoinhas3–0W
2 Apr@ ASA3–2W
18 Mar@ CRB3–1W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lagarto and CSA.

Lagarto vs CSA head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lagarto vs CSA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lagarto vs CSA?

On our numbers Lagarto have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CSA 44%.

How many goals will there be in Lagarto vs CSA?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lagarto vs CSA?

Our predicted score is Lagarto 1–1 CSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lagarto vs CSA?

Lagarto vs CSA (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.