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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Hajduk Split v Žilina: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Stadion Poljud

HNK Hajduk Split

WWWWL
2–0
FT

Žilina

DDLDW
HNK Hajduk Split 63%Draw 22%Žilina 15% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.09
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓63% · @1.38
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Thursday 9 July: HNK Hajduk Split v Žilina in the UEFA Europa League, played at Stadion Poljud.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Celje, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Žilina, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pardubice, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Žilina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 2.1 xG, Žilina 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 63%, draw 22%, Žilina 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Žilina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split63%fair 1.58 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.30
Žilina15%fair 6.77 · @7.75
3.22Expected goals
2.13HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.09Žilina xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.1 – 1.1 Žilina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓63%1.581.38
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓85%1.171.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.85 ▲
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Jul@ Celje1–0W
27 Jun@ LNZ Cherkasy1–0W
23 Jun@ Shkendija4–0W
22 Mayvs Vukovar6–3W
21 Aprvs NK Osijek0–1L
17 Apr@ NK Slaven Belupo2–2D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Žilina – last 6

DDLDWW
1 Jul@ Pardubice2–2D
28 Jun@ Odra Opole0–0D
24 Jun@ Dynamo Kyiv0–2L
20 Junvs Opava1–1D
5 Mayvs Zemplín Michalovce3–2W
1 Mayvs FK Košice3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and Žilina.

HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub
FT Qarabag3 Vestri0 181%1.03X13%12.0026%27.00 2.9–0.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 59%@1.36 ✗
FT Dynamo Kyiv0 Universitatea Cluj0 159%1.44X24%4.10218%6.50 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Sheriff Tiraspol0 Aluminij0 167%1.41X20%4.30213%6.80 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT CSKA Sofia3 Derry City2 167%1.26X21%5.00212%10.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Vojvodina1 Ferencvarosi TC2 123%2.86X35%3.35242%2.26 1.1–1.7xG X2Ferencvarosi TC or draw 77%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Žilina 15%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Žilina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.