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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qarabag v Vestri: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Tofiq Bəhramov

Qarabag

LLWWL
3–0
FT

Vestri

DDWWL
Qarabag 81%Draw 13%Vestri 6% Expected goals 2.93 – 0.74
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✓81% · @1.03
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 9.36

Qarabag vs Vestri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vestri travel to face Qarabag on Thursday 9 July in the UEFA Europa League, with Tofiq Bəhramov the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Qarabag, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ferencvarosi TC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Vestri, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grindavik, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vestri, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Qarabag.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 2.9 xG, Vestri 0.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 81%, draw 13%, Vestri 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 3–1 Vestri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qarabag81%fair 1.23 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.96 · @12.00
Vestri6%fair 16.71 · @27.00
3.67Expected goals
2.93Qarabag xG
0.74Vestri xG
49%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–011%
2–18%
3–18%
4–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Qarabag 2.9 – 0.7 Vestri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✓81%1.231.03
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓94%1.06–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.42
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet) ✓93%1.07–
Asian handicapQarabag -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.12
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗59%1.681.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.701.95 ▲
First team to scoreQarabag to score first ✓78%1.29–
Half-time resultQarabag ahead at half-time ✓61%1.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✓58%1.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11%9.36–

Recent results

Qarabag – last 6

LLWWLL
1 Jul@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
1 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2–6L
22 May@ Sumqayıt4–3W
4 Mayvs Turan2–1W
30 Apr@ Neftchi Baku1–2L
22 Apr@ Sabah FA1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Vestri – last 6

DDWWLW
4 Jul@ Grindavik0–0D
27 Jun@ Throttur Reykjavik1–1D
21 Junvs Afturelding2–0W
17 Junvs Ægir3–2W
13 Jun@ Leiknir R.0–1L
6 Junvs Völsungur5–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Qarabag and Vestri.

Qarabag vs Vestri head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub
FT Dynamo Kyiv0 Universitatea Cluj0 159%1.44X24%4.10218%6.50 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Sheriff Tiraspol0 Aluminij0 167%1.41X20%4.30213%6.80 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT CSKA Sofia3 Derry City2 167%1.26X21%5.00212%10.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT HNK Hajduk Split2 Žilina0 163%1.38X22%4.30215%7.75 2.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Vojvodina1 Ferencvarosi TC2 123%2.86X35%3.35242%2.26 1.1–1.7xG X2Ferencvarosi TC or draw 77%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Vestri?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Qarabag vs Vestri?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Vestri 6%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Vestri?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Vestri?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 3–1 Vestri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Vestri?

Qarabag vs Vestri (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.