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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sheriff Tiraspol v Aluminij: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Sheriff Stadium

Sheriff Tiraspol

DWDWL
0–0
FT

Aluminij

LLDLW
Sheriff Tiraspol 67%Draw 20%Aluminij 13% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.73
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗67% · @1.41
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sheriff Tiraspol welcome Aluminij to Sheriff Stadium for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 9 July (18:00 WAT).

Current form

Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Politehnica UTM, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Aluminij, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Partizan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sheriff Tiraspol, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Aluminij.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sheriff Tiraspol 2.0 xG, Aluminij 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sheriff Tiraspol 67%, draw 20%, Aluminij 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sheriff Tiraspol67%fair 1.49 · @1.41
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.30
Aluminij13%fair 7.92 · @6.80
2.74Expected goals
2.01Sheriff Tiraspol xG
0.73Aluminij xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%

From our goals model: Sheriff Tiraspol 2.0 – 0.7 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗67%1.491.41
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓87%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.002.15 ▲
Draw no betSheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapSheriff Tiraspol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSheriff Tiraspol to score first ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultSheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6

DWDWLW
4 Jul@ Politehnica UTM0–0D
28 Junvs Sireți3–0W
17 May@ Milsami Orhei0–0D
13 Mayvs Petrocub2–0W
6 May@ Petrocub0–1L
21 Apr@ Dacia-Buiucani2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aluminij – last 6

LLDLWW
2 Julvs FK Partizan1–2L
28 Junvs FC Noah0–2L
19 Jun@ Rače1–1D
23 May@ Maribor0–3L
13 May@ Brinje-Grosuplje1–0W
23 Apr@ Bravo1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sheriff Tiraspol and Aluminij.

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa League predictions

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FT Dynamo Kyiv0 Universitatea Cluj0 159%1.44X24%4.10218%6.50 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT CSKA Sofia3 Derry City2 167%1.26X21%5.00212%10.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT HNK Hajduk Split2 Žilina0 163%1.38X22%4.30215%7.75 2.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?

On our numbers Sheriff Tiraspol have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aluminij 13%.

How many goals will there be in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?

Our predicted score is Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sheriff Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.