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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aluminij v Sheriff Tiraspol: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Ljudski vrt

Aluminij

DLLDL
0–1
FT

Sheriff Tiraspol

WDDWD
Aluminij 20%Draw 26%Sheriff Tiraspol 53% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.66
80%
Betarazi pick

Sheriff Tiraspol or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓53% · @1.94
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aluminij welcome Sheriff Tiraspol to Ljudski vrt for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 16 July (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Aluminij, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sheriff Tiraspol, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Zimbru, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sheriff Tiraspol, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Aluminij.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Sheriff Tiraspol 0–0 Aluminij.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 0.9 xG, Sheriff Tiraspol 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 20%, draw 26%, Sheriff Tiraspol 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sheriff Tiraspol or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sheriff Tiraspol or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 0–1 Sheriff Tiraspol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aluminij20%fair 4.91 · @3.85
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Sheriff Tiraspol53%fair 1.88 · @1.94
2.57Expected goals
0.90Aluminij xG
1.66Sheriff Tiraspol xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Aluminij 0.9 – 1.7 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓53%1.881.94
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.90
Draw no betSheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapAluminij +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreSheriff Tiraspol to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Aluminij – last 6

DLLDLW
9 Jul@ Sheriff Tiraspol0–0D
2 Julvs FK Partizan1–2L
28 Junvs FC Noah0–2L
19 Jun@ Rače1–1D
23 May@ Maribor0–3L
13 May@ Brinje-Grosuplje1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6

WDDWDW
12 Julvs Zimbru4–2W
9 Julvs Aluminij0–0D
4 Jul@ Politehnica UTM0–0D
28 Junvs Sireți3–0W
17 May@ Milsami Orhei0–0D
13 Mayvs Petrocub2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Sheriff Tiraspol v Aluminij0–0
Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa League predictions

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FT Ferencvarosi TC3 Vojvodina0 170%1.35X20%4.90211%7.00 2.3–0.8xG 1Ferencvarosi TC to win 70%@1.35 ✓
FT Žilina2 HNK Hajduk Split1 128%3.00X34%3.45238%2.14 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Vestri0 Qarabag3 17%30.00X16%8.70276%1.06 0.7–2.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our pick is Sheriff Tiraspol or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

On our numbers Aluminij have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sheriff Tiraspol 53%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our predicted score is Aluminij 0–1 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.