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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Žilina v HNK Hajduk Split: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Štadión pod Dubňom

Žilina

LDDLD
2–1
FT

HNK Hajduk Split

WWWWW
Žilina 28%Draw 34%HNK Hajduk Split 38% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.48
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗38% · @2.14
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Hajduk Split travel to face Žilina on Thursday 16 July in the UEFA Europa League, with Štadión pod Dubňom the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Žilina, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Žilina, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Žilina.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Žilina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Žilina 1.3 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Žilina 28%, draw 34%, HNK Hajduk Split 38%.
  • Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (72%) at 1.36.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Žilina 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Žilina28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Draw34%fair 2.93 · @3.45
HNK Hajduk Split38%fair 2.63 · @2.14
2.74Expected goals
1.26Žilina xG
1.48HNK Hajduk Split xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Žilina 1.3 – 1.5 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗38%2.632.14
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗72%1.391.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.67
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✗58%1.74–
Asian handicapŽilina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Žilina – last 6

LDDLDW
9 Jul@ HNK Hajduk Split0–2L
1 Jul@ Pardubice2–2D
28 Jun@ Odra Opole0–0D
24 Jun@ Dynamo Kyiv0–2L
20 Junvs Opava1–1D
5 Mayvs Zemplín Michalovce3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

WWWWWL
9 Julvs Žilina2–0W
1 Jul@ Celje1–0W
27 Jun@ LNZ Cherkasy1–0W
23 Jun@ Shkendija4–0W
22 Mayvs Vukovar6–3W
21 Aprvs NK Osijek0–1L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026HNK Hajduk Split v Žilina2–0
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

On our numbers Žilina have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 34% and HNK Hajduk Split 38%.

How many goals will there be in Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our predicted score is Žilina 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Štadión pod Dubňom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.