Derry City 28%Draw 24%CSKA Sofia 47%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.94
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.82
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Thursday 16 July: Derry City v CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa League, played at Brandywell Stadium.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
CSKA Sofia, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Derry City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.4 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 28%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City28%fair 3.52 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
CSKA Sofia47%fair 2.12 · @1.98
3.37Expected goals
1.43Derry City xG
1.94CSKA Sofia xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.4 – 1.9 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Derry City have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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