Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vestri v Qarabag: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Throttarvollur

Vestri

LLDDW
0–3
FT

Qarabag

WLLWW
Vestri 7%Draw 16%Qarabag 76% Expected goals 0.70 – 2.31
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✓76% · @1.06
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.11
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓10% · fair 9.91

Vestri vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vestri welcome Qarabag to Throttarvollur for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 16 July (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Vestri, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Fylkir, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Qarabag, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vestri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Qarabag 3–0 Vestri.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vestri 0.7 xG, Qarabag 2.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vestri 7%, draw 16%, Qarabag 76%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.11.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vestri 0–2 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vestri7%fair 13.34 · @30.00
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @8.70
Qarabag76%fair 1.31 · @1.06
3.01Expected goals
0.70Vestri xG
2.31Qarabag xG
46%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Vestri 0.7 – 2.3 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✓76%1.311.06
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.841.11
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapQarabag -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
First team to scoreQarabag to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultQarabag ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✓49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓10%9.91–

Recent results

Vestri – last 6

LLDDWW
13 Julvs Fylkir2–5L
9 Jul@ Qarabag0–3L
4 Jul@ Grindavik0–0D
27 Jun@ Throttur Reykjavik1–1D
21 Junvs Afturelding2–0W
17 Junvs Ægir3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Qarabag – last 6

WLLWWL
9 Julvs Vestri3–0W
1 Jul@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
1 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2–6L
22 May@ Sumqayıt4–3W
4 Mayvs Turan2–1W
30 Apr@ Neftchi Baku1–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Qarabag v Vestri3–0
Vestri vs Qarabag head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub
FT Derry City1 CSKA Sofia2 128%3.25X24%3.55247%1.98 1.4–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Universitatea Cluj0 Dynamo Kyiv0 Pens 2–4 122%5.70X24%3.80255%1.54 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Aluminij0 Sheriff Tiraspol1 120%3.85X26%3.20253%1.94 0.9–1.7xG X2Sheriff Tiraspol or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Ferencvarosi TC3 Vojvodina0 170%1.35X20%4.90211%7.00 2.3–0.8xG 1Ferencvarosi TC to win 70%@1.35 ✓
FT Žilina2 HNK Hajduk Split1 128%3.00X34%3.45238%2.14 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vestri vs Qarabag?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Vestri vs Qarabag?

On our numbers Vestri have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Qarabag 76%.

How many goals will there be in Vestri vs Qarabag?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vestri vs Qarabag?

Our predicted score is Vestri 0–2 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Vestri vs Qarabag?

Vestri vs Qarabag (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.