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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
2–1
FT
Kyoto Sanga 36%Draw 24%Avispa Fukuoka 39% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.42
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAvispa Fukuoka to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League, played at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maruyasu Okazaki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Verspah Oita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.4 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 36%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyoto Sanga36%fair 2.76 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Avispa Fukuoka39%fair 2.54 · @2.85
2.78Expected goals
1.35Kyoto Sanga xG
1.42Avispa Fukuoka xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.4 – 1.4 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvispa Fukuoka to win ✗39%2.542.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.692.00 ▲
Draw no betAvispa Fukuoka (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapKyoto Sanga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreAvispa Fukuoka to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

WLDLWL
26 Augvs Maruyasu Okazaki1–0W
22 Augvs Mito Hollyhock1–3L
15 Aug@ Kawasaki Frontale2–2D
9 Aug@ V-varen Nagasaki1–2L
6 Jun@ Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
30 Mayvs Kashiwa Reysol2–6L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Avispa Fukuoka – last 6

DLWLWL
26 Augvs Verspah Oita0–0D
22 Aug@ Kashima2–3L
15 Augvs Cerezo Osaka3–0W
8 Augvs Vissel Kobe0–1L
19 Julvs Osaka3–2W
11 Julvs Kitakyushu1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka2–0
Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avispa Fukuoka 39%.

How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.