Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Tokyo Verdy v Kashima in the J1 League, played at Ajinomoto Stadium. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Suzuka Unlimited, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Tokyo Verdy.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Kashima. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tokyo Verdy 1 win, Kashima 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 0.9 xG, Kashima 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 11%, draw 25%, Kashima 64%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (89%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Kashima to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tokyo Verdy11%fair 8.71 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Kashima64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.98Expected goals
0.86Tokyo Verdy xG
2.12Kashima xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.9 – 2.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki0
Kyoto Sanga2
Avispa Fukuoka1
Nagoya Grampus2
Fagiano Okayama1