Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kashiwa Reysol travel to face Shimizu S-pulse on Saturday 29 August in the J1 League, with IAI Stadium Nihondaira the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Osaka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Senshu University, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 26%, draw 23%, Kashiwa Reysol 51%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Kashiwa Reysol to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse26%fair 3.78 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol51%fair 1.97 · @2.15
2.62Expected goals
1.05Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.57Kashiwa Reysol xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Kashiwa Reysol (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Kashiwa Reysol to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
DLLWWW
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
3–1
W
14 Jul
@ Polessya
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWWWDL
26 Aug
vs Senshu University
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
4–2
W
14 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashiwa Reysol 51%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
V-varen Nagasaki0
Kyoto Sanga2
Avispa Fukuoka1
Nagoya Grampus2
Fagiano Okayama1