Nagoya Grampus 40%Draw 23%Fagiano Okayama 37%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.08
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.99
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nagoya Grampus welcome Fagiano Okayama to Toyota Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 29 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Nagoya Grampus are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gainare Tottori, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Beluga Rosso Iwami, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nagoya Grampus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.2 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 40%, draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nagoya Grampus40%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Fagiano Okayama37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
2.23Expected goals
1.15Nagoya Grampus xG
1.08Fagiano Okayama xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.2 – 1.1 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
40%
2.47
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Fagiano Okayama +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Nagoya Grampus to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.99
–
Recent results
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LWLLLL
26 Aug
vs Gainare Tottori
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Gamba Osaka
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Kashima
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Tokyo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
WDWLLL
26 Aug
vs Beluga Rosso Iwami
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Tokyo Verdy
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Werder Bremen
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fagiano Okayama 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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JEF United Chiba2
Urawa3
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Tokyo Verdy0
Kashima2