Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the J1 League brings Vissel Kobe against Cerezo Osaka at Noevir Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Vissel Kobe are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Vissel Kobe, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Veroskronos Tsuno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Gifu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Vissel Kobe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vissel Kobe 1.7 xG, Cerezo Osaka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vissel Kobe 59%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 16%.
Lower-risk option: Vissel Kobe or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Vissel Kobe to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vissel Kobe or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vissel Kobe59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka16%fair 6.39 · @3.95
2.41Expected goals
1.66Vissel Kobe xG
0.74Cerezo Osaka xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.7 – 0.7 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Vissel Kobe or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Vissel Kobe (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Cerezo Osaka +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
Vissel Kobe to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WLDWWD
26 Aug
vs Veroskronos Tsuno
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs FC Tokyo
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Imabari
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Consadole Sapporo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WWLWWW
26 Aug
vs FC Gifu
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
1–0
W
15 Jul
vs Tochigi City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Vissel Kobe or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerezo Osaka 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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