Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.18
JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fagiano Okayama travel to face JEF United Chiba on Wednesday 2 September in the J1 League, with Fukuda Denshi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
JEF United Chiba, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for JEF United Chiba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 0.9 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 19%, draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 57%.
Lower-risk option: Fagiano Okayama or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Fagiano Okayama to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fagiano Okayama or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 0–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
JEF United Chiba19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Fagiano Okayama57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
2.73Expected goals
0.94JEF United Chiba xG
1.79Fagiano Okayama xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.9 – 1.8 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Fagiano Okayama or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Draw no bet
Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
JEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Fagiano Okayama to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Fagiano Okayama ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
JEF United Chiba – last 6
LDLLLD
29 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs Azul Claro Numazu
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Machida Zelvia
0–4
L
8 Aug
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LWDWLL
29 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Beluga Rosso Iwami
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Tokyo Verdy
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 57%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Cerezo Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus0
Shimizu S-pulse1
Vissel Kobe2
V-varen Nagasaki2
Gamba Osaka2