Value bet: Shimizu S-pulse to win @ 3.65 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the J1 League brings Shimizu S-pulse against FC Tokyo at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FC Tokyo, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 xG, FC Tokyo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 29%, draw 22%, FC Tokyo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Shimizu S-pulse to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse29%fair 3.44 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
FC Tokyo48%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.03Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.44FC Tokyo xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 – 1.4 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
48%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.77
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LDLLWW
29 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 6
WWWDLL
29 Aug
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
26 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
6–0
W
21 Aug
vs JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Vissel Kobe
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Machida Zelvia
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Tokyo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo?
Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Cerezo Osaka2
Fagiano Okayama2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus0
Vissel Kobe2
V-varen Nagasaki2
Gamba Osaka2