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Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%Draw 19%Nagoya Grampus 19% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League, played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gamba Osaka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fagiano Okayama, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Nagoya Grampus.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 win, Nagoya Grampus 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 xG, Nagoya Grampus 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%, draw 19%, Nagoya Grampus 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.20
Nagoya Grampus19%fair 5.33 · @5.80
2.83Expected goals
1.91Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.92Nagoya Grampus xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓81%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

DWDWWW
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
26 Augvs Okinawa SV4–1W
22 Augvs Kawasaki Frontale1–1D
15 Aug@ Urawa4–1W
8 Augvs JEF United Chiba3–0W
28 Julvs Verspah Oita4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

WLWLLL
29 Augvs Fagiano Okayama2–1W
26 Augvs Gainare Tottori1–3L
22 Augvs Gamba Osaka3–1W
15 Aug@ Kashima1–2L
8 Augvs Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
25 Jul@ Consadole Sapporo0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus4–2
18 Mar 2026Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nagoya Grampus 19%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.