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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mito Hollyhock v Kashima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Best Denki Stadium
4–2
FT

Kashima

WWWWW
Mito Hollyhock 13%Draw 25%Kashima 62% Expected goals 0.94 – 2.10
87%
Betarazi pick

Kashima or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 2 September the J1 League brings Mito Hollyhock against Kashima at Best Denki Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Machida Zelvia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tokyo Verdy, away. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Mito Hollyhock.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 0.9 xG, Kashima 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 13%, draw 25%, Kashima 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (87%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Kashima to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 0–2 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mito Hollyhock13%fair 7.46 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Kashima62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
3.03Expected goals
0.94Mito Hollyhock xG
2.10Kashima xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 0.9 – 2.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✗62%1.621.90 ▲
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗87%1.151.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Draw no betKashima (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapKashima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.892.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.461.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.09
First team to scoreKashima to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✗41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

DLWDLL
29 Augvs Machida Zelvia1–1D
26 Augvs Kyoto Sangyo University0–2L
22 Aug@ Kyoto Sanga3–1W
15 Augvs Gamba Osaka1–1D
8 Aug@ Kashiwa Reysol1–2L
6 Junvs V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kashima – last 6

WWWWWW
29 Aug@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
26 Augvs Suzuka Unlimited3–0W
22 Augvs Avispa Fukuoka3–2W
15 Augvs Nagoya Grampus2–1W
7 Aug@ Yokohama F. Marinos4–3W
15 Julvs Vegalta Sendai5–0W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Kashima v Mito Hollyhock3–0
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?

Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?

On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 62%.

How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?

Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.