Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League, played at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kashiwa Reysol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vissel Kobe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Tokyo Verdy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.5 xG, Tokyo Verdy 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 63%, draw 21%, Tokyo Verdy 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cerezo Osaka or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerezo Osaka63%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Tokyo Verdy16%fair 6.32 · @4.20
2.00Expected goals
1.48Cerezo Osaka xG
0.52Tokyo Verdy xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.5 – 0.5 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
63%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cerezo Osaka or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Cerezo Osaka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.01
–
Recent results
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WLWWLW
2 Sep
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs FC Gifu
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LLWDLD
2 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Kashima
0–2
L
26 Aug
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tokyo Verdy 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Nagoya Grampus1
Fagiano Okayama3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Vissel Kobe3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Shimizu S-pulse1
Kyoto Sanga0