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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashima v Urawa: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Mercari Stadium

Kashima

LWWWW
0–1
FT

Urawa

WWWLL
Kashima 61%Draw 22%Urawa 17% Expected goals 3.11 – 1.79
83%
Betarazi pick

Kashima or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 68% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.70
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.94

Kashima vs Urawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Urawa travel to face Kashima on Sunday 6 September in the J1 League, with Mercari Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Urawa are 6th (lower half) with 25. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kashima, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mito Hollyhock, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Urawa, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Avispa Fukuoka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Urawa.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Kashima 1–0 Urawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kashima 2 wins, Urawa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 3.1 xG, Urawa 1.8 xG – a total near 4.9. That is an open game on paper: 87% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 61%, draw 22%, Urawa 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 68%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 3–1 Urawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashima61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Urawa17%fair 5.91 · @3.80
4.90Expected goals
3.11Kashima xG
1.79Urawa xG
68%Both score
87%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–17%
2–16%
3–26%
2–26%
4–15%
4–25%

From our goals model: Kashima 3.1 – 1.8 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✗61%1.631.85 ▲
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.461.70 ▲
Draw no betKashima (draw no bet) ✗78%1.28–
Asian handicapKashima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗96%1.05–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
First team to scoreKashima to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%14.94–

Recent results

Kashima – last 6

LWWWWW
2 Sep@ Mito Hollyhock2–4L
29 Aug@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
26 Augvs Suzuka Unlimited3–0W
22 Augvs Avispa Fukuoka3–2W
15 Augvs Nagoya Grampus2–1W
7 Aug@ Yokohama F. Marinos4–3W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Urawa – last 6

WWWLLL
2 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka3–2W
29 Augvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–2W
26 Augvs Yamanashi Gakuin3–0W
23 Aug@ Machida Zelvia1–3L
15 Augvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–4L
7 Aug@ Gamba Osaka3–4L
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Kashima v Urawa1–0
28 Feb 2026Urawa v Kashima2–3
Kashima vs Urawa head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashima vs Urawa?

Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kashima vs Urawa?

On our numbers Kashima have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Urawa 17%.

How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Urawa?

We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Urawa?

Our predicted score is Kashima 3–1 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.

When is Kashima vs Urawa?

Kashima vs Urawa (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.